Bitcoin Cycle Situation Report — August Edition
Bitcoin hit a fresh ATH at $124k and quickly met cooling demand. ETFs paused, Treasury bid eased, and price now sits ~12% off the highs. This edition examines the market’s resilience and the risk of more serious downside.
Inside this month’s report
- Analyse Bitcoin’s health through the lens of volume.
- Compare spot, ETFs, derivatives, and on-chain flows.
- Macro cyclical analysis; absence of excessive topping signals.
- Does the bull fail with a bang or a whimper?
- HODLer sell-side in-tune with market demand.
- Likelihood of a deeper drawdown and potential depth.
- Downside levels with metric confluence.
- ‘Value’ and ‘deep value’ zones to watch.
- Tactical metrics for corrections.
- Orange flags on wider markets to Bitcoin.
Editor’s note
We question the bull’s resilience given softer demand and heavier tape, mapping downside scenarios and watch levels with clear, repeatable metrics.
Preview
Analyst-grade data
Curated on-chain metrics with context, not noise.
Clear thresholds
Actionable markers for risk, drawdowns, and value zones.
Professional polish
Concise writing, clean charts, and transparent methodology.
What you’ll walk away with
- Clarity on regime risk and downside scenarios
- Key levels with multi-metric confluence
- A tactical plan for corrections
- Talking points for your team or clients
Get the August edition
August Orange Report (PDF)
FAQ
How do I receive the report?
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Is this a subscription?
No—this is a one-time purchase for the August edition.
Refunds?
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